Sharps will be selecting La Liga overs over the coming weeks. Another week of European soccer has been and gone so I’m ready to get into my European soccer weekly review as I analyze the latest betting trends and statistics following the weekend’s results.
We have midweek soccer from Europe’s top five leagues this week so make sure you keep up to date with that so you’re fully informed. There are no games on Monday so we can get a full picture of what’s been happening in the latest round of games.
Brest continue to be the surprise package atop the Ligue 1 standings, whilst Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen look strong in the Bundesliga. Simone Inzaghi was able to equal records with his Inter team on Sunday, whilst Real Madrid were finally defeated in La Liga.
Below you can find my European soccer weekly review, starting with the results and key statistics. Selecting La Liga overs looks to be a good play.
European Soccer Weekly Review – Results & Key Stats
Let’s take a look at all the results and the key statistics from the latest round of fixtures. My European soccer weekly review focuses on the top leagues outside of England.
Be sure to check out Sports Hub’s Premier League review for all the latest from the English top-flight. We saw some good action from the Spanish top-flight this week so it could be a good idea to target La Liga overs soon.
Ligue 1:
- Monaco 0-1 Nice
- Nantes 5-3 Lorient
- Brest 1-0 Lyon
- Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
- Le Havre 2-1 Clermont
- Lens 2-1 Toulouse
- Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
- Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Marseille
Key Stats:
- 37.5% of Ligue 1 matches saw both teams score during Week 6
- 50% of Ligue 1 matches saw over 2.5 goals during Week 6
- Rennes and Nice are the only teams left to go unbeaten in the division
- Clermont and Lyon are the only two teams left without a win
- 62.5% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in home wins during Week 6
- 12.5% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in draws during Week 6
- 25% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in away wins during Week 6
Bundesliga:
- Stuttgart 3-1 Darmstadt
- Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 RB Leipzig
- Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
- Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
- Bayern Munich 7-0 Bochum
- Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Köln
- Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
- Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Key Stats:
- 44.44% of Bundesliga games during Week 5 saw both teams score
- 55.56% of Bundesliga games during Week 5 saw over 2.5 goals
- 33.33% of Bundesliga games during Week 5 saw over 3.5 goals
- Bayern, Leverkusen, Frankfurt and Dortmund all remain undefeated
- Bochum, Mönchengladbach, Köln, Darmstadt and Mainz are all yet to find their first victory
- Köln, Darmstadt and Mainz all have just one point
- 66.67% of matches resulted in home wins during Week 5
- 11.11% of matches resulted in draws during Week 5
- 22.22% of matches resulted in away wins during Week 5
Serie A:
- Salernitana 1-1 Frosinone
- Lecce 1-0 Genoa
- Milan 1-0 Verona
- Sassuolo 4-2 Juventus
- Lazio 1-1 Monza
- Empoli 0-1 Inter
- Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
- Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
- Bologna 0-0 Napoli
- Torino 1-1 Roma
Key Stats:
- 40% of matches from Week 5 saw both teams score in Serie A
- 10% of matches from Week 5 saw over 2.5 goals in Serie A
- Inter are the only team to boast a 100% record through five games
- Inter and Lecce are the only teams left to not lose a match
- Empoli still remain at the foot of the standings and have lost all of their games
- Salernitana, Udinese, Cagliari and Empoli are all without a win
- 40% of Serie A matches ended in home wins during Week 5
- 40% of Serie A matches ended in draws during Week 5
- 20% of Serie A matches ended in away wins during Week 5
La Liga:
- Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
- Girona 5-3 Mallorca
- Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
- Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
- Almeria 2-2 Valencia
- Real Sociedad 4-3 Getafe
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal
- Las Palmas 1-0 Granada
- Real Betis 1-1 Cadiz
- Atletico Madrid 3-1 Real Madrid
Key Stats:
- 70% of La Liga matches saw both teams score during Week 6
- 50% of La Liga matches saw over 2.5 goals during Week 6
- There are no more teams left to maintain a 100% record in La Liga this term
- Barcelona and Girona remain undefeated through six matches
- Almeria are the only team without a win as they sit bottom of the table
- 50% of La Liga games ended in home wins during Week 6
- 40% of La Liga games ended in draws during Week 6
- 10% of La Liga games ended in away wins during Week 6
Kimmich with the vision 👀
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) September 25, 2023
Tel with the clinical finish 🎯#UCL pic.twitter.com/3fiI7CwkmM
European Soccer Weekly Review – La Liga Overs
The results and key statistics have now been summarized from Europe’s top five leagues so we need to find out what this means for bettors and highlight the important betting trends.
Below you will see four separate tables that have compiled all of the data from the key stats over the past four weeks of European soccer. La Liga overs have been consistent over the past few weeks.
I will be using this to try and find a more accurate way of analyzing the stats. Every week we are bound to see anomalies that may skew the data. However, by analyzing a larger data set, we can get a more accurate picture of what’s been going on.
Euro Soccer Betting Trends – What the stats say so far
Now that we have four weeks worth of data from the key statistics each week, I am able to work out which leagues are proportionately hitting the higher percentages in terms of both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, home wins, draws and away wins. As you can see, La Liga overs have been hitting on a regular basis of late.
| Ligue 1 | BTTS | Over 2.5 Goals | Home Wins | Draws | Away Wins |
| 1 | 55.56% | 55.56% | 44.44% | 33.33% | 22.22% |
| 2 | 44.44% | 55.56% | 44.44% | 44.44% | 11.11% |
| 3 | 55.56% | 55.56% | 0% | 55.56% | 44.44% |
| 4 | 37.5% | 50% | 62.5% | 12.5% | 25% |
| Bundesliga | BTTS | Over 2.5 Goals | Home Wins | Draws | Away Wins |
| 1 | 77.78% | 66.67% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 44.44% |
| 2 | 66.67% | 88.89% | 44.44% | 33.33% | 22.22% |
| 3 | 88.89% | 88.89% | 33.33% | 33.33% | 33.33% |
| 4 | 44.44% | 55.56% | 66.67% | 11.11% | 22.22% |
| Serie A | BTTS | Over 2.5 Goals | Home Wins | Draws | Away Wins |
| 1 | 60% | 40% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| 2 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 10% | 30% |
| 3 | 60% | 70% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| 4 | 40% | 10% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| La Liga | BTTS | Over 2.5 Goals | Home Wins | Draws | Away Wins |
| 1 | 60% | 60% | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| 2 | 55.56% | 55.56% | 66.67% | 11.11% | 22.22% |
| 3 | 40% | 70% | 80% | 0% | 20% |
| 4 | 70% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
The Bundesliga has clearly been the leading league for goals so far. That has been one of the common themes across each European weekly soccer review. Despite taking a hit over the weekend with just 55.56% of games seeing over 2.5 goals, that was still the highest percentage out of the rest of the top leagues.
However, La Liga appears to be another league to target in terms of goals. At least 50% of games have seen over 2.5 goals every week and even 70% of matches saw both teams score during the last set of games. Going forward, sharps will be selecting La Liga overs.
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) September 25, 2023
La Liga Home Wins
Home wins have been most common in La Liga too. Although home advantage is a typical opinion of the public, the stats are clearly saying that Spain is where to head. A great example of that working came over the weekend as Atletico Madrid got the better of an unbeaten Real Madrid at the time. That match also hit for La Liga overs as well.
La Liga have seen a low proportion of their games end in draws and away wins as a result so home advantage seems to be working well in Spain. As expected, home wins are the most common outcome across all of the top leagues after the first few weeks.
If you want to fade the public, though, and perhaps try and find longer odds value, look to Ligue 1 or the Bundesliga. Ligue 1 has seen low numbers for home wins, bar from the latest results, whilst the Bundesliga is the most common for away wins thus far.
European Soccer Weekly Review – Look to La Liga Overs
The bookmakers are starting to identify the key trends and statistics and are adjusting their prices to make it a lot harder for bettors.
However, Sports Hub’s weekly reviews should help try and identify the most profitable markets so we can all continue to turn profits each week. La Liga overs looks set to be a good strategy, based off of recent data.
Of course, Bundelsiga goals should still be an option but make sure you are finding the best selections each week. Our weekly pick articles will be out later this week so stay tuned for the latest betting tips Sports Hub has to offer.
