Over 3.5 Bundesliga Goals – European Soccer Weekly Review

Joe Berra
in
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Bettors should consider backing over 3.5 Bundesliga goals! It has been a couple of weeks since my last European soccer review because the top Euro leagues were on an international break. However, all the top teams were back in action last weekend across the top 5 leagues. 

So, you know that that means it’s time for Sports Hub’s European soccer weekly review! What are the latest betting trends and statistics? Let’s try to identify some important tendencies before placing our Euro soccer picks later in the week. 

I know I have spoken about Bundesliga Overs a lot throughout my Euro soccer reviews. However, I am doing so for a reason. Once again, they continue to land. Soccer bettors should seriously consider targeting over 3.5 Bundesliga goals this week. 

European Soccer Weekly Review – Results & Key Stats 

My weekly Euro soccer review breaks down the latest results and key statistics from Europe’s top leagues, excluding the Premier League. If you want to find out more about betting on English football, head on over to our Premier League Matchweek 9 Review. 

Check out the results across Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Serie A, and La Liga below. As usual, Bundesliga overs is a hot betting trend. Therefore, over 3.5 Bundesliga goals should be focused on when making Euro soccer picks this week. 

Ligue 1: 

  • Le Havre 0-0 Lens 
  • Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Strasbourg 
  • Nice 1-0 Marseille 
  • Lorient 2-1 Rennes 
  • Nantes 2-0 Montpellier 
  • Lille 1-0 Brest 
  • Toulouse 1-1 Reims 
  • Monaco 2-1 Metz 
  • Lyon 1-2 Clermont 

Key Stats: 

  • 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches saw both teams score during Week 9
  • 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches saw over 2.5 goals during Week 9
  • Nice are still the only team left in Ligue 1 to remain unbeaten
  • Nantes have lost just one of their last seven in Ligue 1
  • Lyon are the only team still without a victory this term in the French top-flight
  • Metz have lost their last four successive league matches
  • 66.67% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in home wins during Week 9
  • 22.22% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in draws during Week 9
  • 11.11% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in away wins during Week 9

Bundesliga: 

  • Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen 
  • Darmstadt 1-3 RB Leipzig 
  • Hoffenheim 1-3 Freiburg 
  • Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen 
  • Freiburg 2-1 Bochum 
  • Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
  • Mainz 1-3 Bayern Munich 
  • FC Köln 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach 
  • Heidenheim 2-5 Augsburg 

Key Stats: 

  • 77.78% of Bundesliga games during Week 8 saw both teams score 
  • 88.89% of Bundesliga games during Week 8 saw over 2.5 goals
  • 55.56% of games during Week 8 saw over 3.5 Bundesliga goals
  • Leverkusen, Bayern, and Dortmund all remain undefeated this term
  • Stuttgart have won their last six consecutive league games
  • Dortmund have won their last five in a row in the Bundesliga
  • Bochum and Mainz have failed to win a game this season
  • Union Berlin have lost their last nine straight competitive matches
  • 33.33% of matches resulted in home wins during Week 8
  • 0% of matches resulted in draws during Week 8
  • 66.67% of matches resulted in away wins during Week 8

Serie A:

  • Verona 1-3 Napoli 
  • Torino 0-3 Inter 
  • Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio 
  • Roma 1-0 Monza 
  • Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari 
  • Bologna 2-1 Frosinone 
  • Atalanta 2-0 Genoa 
  • Milan 0-1 Juventus
  • Udinese 1-1 Lecce 
  • Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli 

Key Stats: 

  • 40% of matches from Week 9 saw both teams score in Serie A 
  • 40% of matches from Week 9 saw over 2.5 goals in Serie A
  • Inter, Juventus, and Bologna have all lost just one game this term
  • Udinese, Salernitana, and Cagliari are all without a victory so far this season 
  • Cagliari and Verona have picked just one point from their last five games
  • 30% of Serie A matches ended in home wins during Week 9
  • 20% of Serie A matches ended in draws during Week 9
  • 50% of Serie A matches ended in away wins during Week 9

La Liga: 

  • Osasuna 2-0 Granada
  • Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
  • Getafe 1-1 Real Betis 
  • Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid 
  • Celta Vigo 0-3 Atletico Madrid 
  • Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano 
  • Girona 5-2 Almeria 
  • Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
  • Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
  • Valencia 2-0 Cadiz

Key Stats: 

  • 40% of La Liga matches saw both teams score during Week 10
  • 20% of La Liga matches saw over 2.5 goals during Week 10
  • Barcelona are the only team left in the Spanish top-flight yet to suffer a loss
  • Real Madrid sit top of the table, despite dropping points last time out
  • Atletico Madrid have won their last five La Liga games in a row
  • Real Sociedad have won four out of their past five league outings
  • Almeria is the only team left in La Liga yet to record a win 
  • Celta Vigo and Cadiz haven’t won any of their past six league matches
  • 50% of La Liga games ended in home wins during Week 10
  • 30% of La Liga games ended in draws during Week 10
  • 20% of La Liga games ended in away wins during Week 10

European Soccer Weekly Review – Irrefutable Bundesliga Overs

It is clear now that Bundesliga overs will regularly hit every single week. If you’re looking to make a quick buck, head on over to the German top flight. They seriously love plenty of goals over there. Over half the games last week even saw over 3.5 Bundesliga goals!

La Liga overs have also been a common trend of late, but not so much during Round 10. Just 20% of La Liga matches had over 2.5 goals last week, so I won’t be focusing on the overs in Spain this week, barring any matchups that I really like. 

Check out my in-depth look at the over 3.5 Bundesliga goals market below. Ligue 1 and Serie A unders are regularly hitting, too, so I will also take a quick look at that as well. 

Euro Soccer Betting Trends – Over 3.5 Bundesliga Goals

Nearly every week, I harp on about Bundesliga overs. That’s because they are such a consistent trend that I simply can’t talk about them. During Week 7, 77.78% of Bundesliga games had over 2.5 goals, whilst that market hit 88.89% of the time during Week 8. 

However, the sportsbooks know about this trend too and so it’s not as easy as backing each game to have over 2.5 goals. The odds just aren’t high enough. However, 55.56% of matches during Week 8 saw over 3.5 Bundesliga goals and 44.44% of games in Week 7 saw over 3.5 goals as well. Therefore, it seems to be a good idea to find more value in that market. 

Here are some key statistics you should take a look at when searching for games to target for the over 3.5 Bundesliga goals market: 

  • Bayern, Darmstadt, Hoffenheim and Stuttgart have had over 3.5 Bundesliga goals in 75% of their matches thus far 
  • Stuttgart and Darmstadt have 100% records for over 3.5 goals when playing at home 
  • Bayern, Hoffenheim, Werder Bremen, Heidenheim and Leverkusen have seen 75% of their home games have over 3.5 goals
  • Mönchengladbach have a 100% record for over 3.5 goals when playing away 
  • Hoffenheim, Bayern and Mainz have seen over 3.5 goals in 75% of their away outings 

Ligue 1 & Serie A Unders 

Ligue 1 and Serie A have been low-scoring divisions in European soccer this season. Once again, this is a trend that I have previously highlighted. During the latest round of fixtures, just 44.44% of Ligue 1 matches saw over 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Serie A saw only 40% of its games have over 2.5 goals. 

The over 2.5 goals average for Ligue 1 is 55%. A total of six teams are seeing 50% or less of their games have over 2.5 goals this season: 

  • Clermont (50%)
  • Toulouse, Lens (44%)
  • Brest, Lille (33%)
  • Nice (11%)

The over 2.5 goals average in Serie A is even lower than in Ligue 1 at 47%. 13 teams across the Italian top-flight are averaging less than 50% in terms of over 2.5 goals in their matches this term: 

  • Bologna, Sassuolo, Milan, Verona, Genoa, Atalanta, Lazio (44%)
  • Udinese, Lecce, Torino, Juventus (33%)
  • Monza, Empoli (22%)

European Soccer Weekly Review – Over 3.5 Bundesliga Goals Is Profitable 

Those wanting to bet on European soccer should target the over 3.5 Bundesliga goals market this week. It is important to analyze each fixture as it comes, though, and I will be identifying the best matchups for this market in my Euro soccer picks article later this week. 

Moreover, Ligue 1 and Serie A unders are also trending. Therefore, I will also be picking out some of the best games to target when it comes to the under 2.5 goals market. 

I hope you have enjoyed my Euro soccer weekly review. Make sure you check out my Euro soccer picks article later this week. Let’s continue to smash the bookies! 

About the Author
Joe Berra
Joe Berra
Sports Writer
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Joe takes care of the bits and pieces that sometimes slip through the cracks of the sports world. Efficiency and consistency is what makes SportsHub.com different. JB helps keep Sports Hub’s content fresh and exciting, managing its many authors. From the New York area, Joe knew he had a knack for sports betting when his uncle was always asking him which side he was on as a young boy. His meticulous approach to the numbers formed his career path as a professional handicapper. Joe is sometimes called Jimmy Bagpipes, JB or Mr. B.