Sharps will look at Ligue 1 and Serie A under this week for their European soccer bets. My European soccer weekly review has identified these leagues as the best ones to target when it comes to under.
We are seriously heading into the fall and winter months now. That means top-quality sport is on display. All the time, too! If you’re a sports fanatic like me, you know there’s nothing better than sitting in the warm, in front of the TV, watching your favorite sports.
I’m back with my weekly European soccer review to give you all the latest information you need when selecting your picks. That includes the latest results, key statistics, and betting trends. Sports Hub is on your side when it comes to finding winners.
Our soccer experts know what they’re talking about! Bettors need to be looking at Ligue 1 and Serie A under this week. Bundesliga and La Liga overs shouldn’t be forgotten either. Let’s get into my review.
European Soccer Weekly Review – Results & Key Stats
A consistent trend this season has seen Ligue 1 and Serie A orders come in. These leagues have been typically low-scoring this term. Overs have been more common in the Bundesliga and La Liga.
Below, you can find a rundown of all the latest results from Ligue 1, Bundesliga, Serie A, and La Liga. There are plenty of clear betting trends that bettors need to look out for. Check out my critical stats for each league to help you with your selections this week.
Ligue 1:
- Clermont 0-1 Nice
- Reims 1-0 Lorient
- Lens 4-0 Nantes
- Brest 2-3 Paris Saint-Germain
- Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
- Metz 0-0 Le Havre
- Lille 2-0 Monaco
- Rennes 1-1 Strasbourg
Key Stats:
- 25% of Ligue 1 matches saw both teams score during Week 10
- 37.5% of Ligue 1 games saw over 2.5 goals during Week 10
- Nice are still the only team left in Ligue 1 to remain unbeaten
- PSG have won four of their last five league games
- Lyon are the only team still without a victory this term in the French top-flight
- Metz have lost four of their last five league matches
- 50% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in home wins during Week 10
- 25% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in draws during Week 10
- 25% of Ligue 1 matches resulted in away wins during Week 10
🇫🇷 @KMbappe, 22 goals in his last 20 games 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/nOdBm1F4ia
— Ligue 1 English (@Ligue1_ENG) November 3, 2023
Bundesliga:
- Bochum 2-2 Mainz
- Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
- Augsburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
- Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 Heidenheim
- Bayern Munich 8-0 Darmstadt
- RB Leipzig 6-0 FC Köln
- Frankfurt 3-3 Borussia Dortmund
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Key Stats:
- 66.67% of Bundesliga games during Week 9 saw both teams score
- 88.89% of Bundesliga games during Week 9 saw over 2.5 goals
- 66.67% of games during Week 9 saw over 3.5 Bundesliga goals
- Leverkusen, Bayern, and Dortmund all remain undefeated this term
- Leverkusen have won their last five consecutive league games
- Bochum and Mainz have failed to win a game this season
- Union Berlin have lost their last ten straight competitive matches
- 66.67% of matches resulted in home wins during Week 9
- 22.22% of matches resulted in draws during Week 9
- 11.11% of matches resulted in away wins during Week 9
Serie A:
- Genoa 1-0 Salernitana
- Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
- Lecce 0-1 Torino
- Juventus 1-0 Verona
- Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
- Monza 1-1 Udinese
- Inter 1-0 Roma
- Napoli 2-2 Milan
- Empoli 0-3 Atalanta
- Lazio 1-0 Fiorentina
Key Stats:
- 40% of matches from Week 10 saw both teams score in Serie A
- 30% of matches from Week 10 saw over 2.5 goals in Serie A
- Inter, Juventus, and Bologna have all lost just one game this term
- Juventus are unbeaten across their last five matches
- Udinese and Salernitana are without a victory so far this season
- Salernitana and Verona have picked up just one point from their last five games
- 50% of Serie A matches ended in home wins during Week 10
- 30% of Serie A matches ended in draws during Week 10
- 20% of Serie A matches ended in away wins during Week 10
La Liga:
- Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
- Almeria 1-2 Las Palmas
- Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
- Mallorca 0-0 Getafe
- Cadiz 2-2 Sevilla
- Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna
- Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
- Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Alaves
- Granada 2-3 Villarreal
Key Stats:
- 80% of La Liga matches saw both teams score during Week 11
- 80% of La Liga matches saw over 2.5 goals during Week 11
- There are now no teams left in La Liga that remain unbeaten
- Real Madrid sit top of the table after beating Barcelona in El Clasico last weekend
- Girona have dropped points in just two games and sit level on points with Real Madrid
- Atletico Madrid have won their last six La Liga games in a row
- Almeria are the only team left in La Liga yet to record a win
- Celta Vigo and Cadiz haven’t won any of their past seven league matches
- 30% of La Liga games ended in home wins during Week 11
- 40% of La Liga games ended in draws during Week 11
- 30% of La Liga games ended in away wins during Week 11
Ligue 1 and Serie A Unders – European Soccer Weekly Review
With just 37.5% of Ligue 1 and 30% of Serie A games during the last matchday seeing over 2.5 goals, it seems like a good idea to take a look at unders when it comes to the totals market.
Last week, I highlighted Ligue 1 and Serie A unders as well. During Week 9, Ligue 1 saw 44.44% of matches have over 2.5 goals, whilst 40% of Serie A games had over 2.5 goals.
The unders are consistently landing in these leagues, and so they must be targeted!
Below, I will focus on Ligue 1 and Serie A unders and will be providing you with a more detailed look at this market. That will include the best teams to target. However, bettors should also not forget about Bundesliga and La Liga overs either.
We're officially just a little over a quarter of the season in 🙄
— Lega Serie A (@SerieA_EN) November 3, 2023
From Friday till Monday, #SerieA has your footballing needs covered 😎 pic.twitter.com/43wU0uXMVP
Euro Soccer Betting Trends – Under 2.5 Ligue 1 and Serie A Goals
It is not the first time that I have spoken about Ligue 1 and Serie A under this season. The unders have been very common in these leagues this term. The bookmakers appear to be offering good value odds for unders too, with many under 2.5 goals prices being around -110.
Here are some key statistics when it comes to looking at the over 2.5 goals market for Ligue 1:
- Eight teams are hitting below the 53% league average for over 2.5 goals in Ligue 1 (Lens, Toulouse, Metz, Strasbourg, Clermont, Brest, Lille and Nice)
- Nice has the lowest over 2.5 goals percentage in the league (10%)
- 0% of Nice’s home matches have seen over 2.5 goals, whilst just 20% of their away matches have hit the over
- Clermont and Lille have had just 20% of their home matches see over 2.5 goals
- Lyon and Rennes have seen just 25% of their away outings have over 2.5 goals
Let’s also take a look at some of the key statistics for the over 2.5 goals market in Serie A:
- 11 teams in Serie A are below the 45% league average for over 2.5 goals (Genoa, Sassuolo, Verona, Bologna, Lazio, Empoli, Torino, Lecce, Udinese, Juventus, and Monza)
- Monza has the lowest over 2.5 goals percentage in the league (20%)
- Just 17% of Empoli’s home matches have had over 2.5 goals
- Lazio, Juventus, Torino, and Monza have all seen just 20% of their home games have over 2.5 goals
- Milan and Atalanta are also good candidates for under since just 25% of their home games have seen over 2.5 goals
- Monza, Udinese, Genoa, and Bologna have seen just 20% of their away matches have over 2.5 goals.
These aforementioned teams are the best ones to target if you want to back under. It is a good idea to try and find the best matchups each week in this regard. For example, I highlighted the Clermont vs Nice game last week to have under 2.5 goals.
This is because Clermont has seen just 20% of their home games have over 2.5 goals this season, whilst Nice has had just 20% of their away games have over 2.5 goals.
Breaking statistics down into home and away records is also extremely important. Home advantage can play a huge role in how a particular team performs. Overall, data can skew what is happening. By separating the stats into home and away, we can get a more accurate picture of what’s going on each week.
La Liga overs make a comeback.
La Liga overs suffered a dip during Week 10, but many overs landed in Spain during Week 11. Below, I will break down some of the most important La Liga statistics this season.
Of course, Bundesliga overs continue to come in, too. In my last Euro soccer review, I stated that over 3.5 Bundesliga goals should be considered. In Week 9, the German top-flight saw 66.67% of games have over 3.5 goals, an increase of around 11% from Week 8.
Teams such as Leverkusen, Bayern Munich, Stuttgart, Augsburg, Hoffenheim, Darmstadt, Mainz, and Mönchengladbach should be considered when it comes to backing Bundesliga overs.
Nevertheless, La Liga overs made a comeback last week, as 80% of matches saw over 2.5 goals. Only 20% of La Liga matches had over 2.5 goals during Week 10, so I opted to stay away from that market last week. However, we have seen plenty of goals in La Liga this season. If there are suitable matchups, La Liga overs should also be considered this week.
Here are some key La Liga statistics to consider:
- Almeria leads the over 2.5 goals market in the Spanish top-flight, with 82% of their matches hitting.
- Atletico Madrid follow closely behind, with 80% of their games having over 2.5 goals.
- Real Madrid, Girona, Barcelona, Granada, and Villarreal have had 64% of their games see over 2.5 goals.
- 100% of Atletico Madrid’s home games have seen over 2.5 goals
- Athletic Bilbao, Villarreal, and Almeria have seen over 2.5 goals land 83% of the time at home.
- Getafe (83%), Barcelona (80%) and Almeria (80%) lead the way for overs away from home
European Soccer Weekly Review – Sharps Select Ligue 1 and Serie A Unders
The focus of my European soccer review this week has been Ligue 1 and Serie A. I have provided you with the best teams to look at for this market, so try and match this data to the matchups this week.
I will be providing you with plenty of Euro soccer picks in my Euro soccer top leagues picks article later this week. You should continue to use the information provided in my weekly review to make your picks. Check out my handicapper page, Ashlee Kiddell, to find out my best soccer selections for the week.
Bundesliga and La Liga overs are continuing to come in as well, so don’t forget about those selections either. Analyzing each game as it comes is extremely important when making soccer bets. The statistics should be used to supplement picks, and other factors such as recent form and injuries also need to be considered before making your selections.
That’s all I’ve got for my Euro soccer review this week. Be sure to continue monitoring Sports Hub’s soccer picks. I hope that you are seriously considering Ligue 1 and Serie A under this week. Good luck, and let’s continue turning profits!