2023 Scottish Open Predictions & Odds

Are you preparing your 2023 Scottish Open predictions? A lot of the world’s best golfers have made the trip to The Renaissance Club in Scotland for this week’s PGA tournament. The first grouping will tee off on Thursday, July 13th 2023 at 2:15 AM ET, so make sure you get your picks in on Wednesday night.

The 2023 Barbasol Championship is also this week at the Keene Trace Golf Club (Championship Course) in Nicholasville, Kentucky. The PGA event features a weak field that’s led by Lucas Glover (#112 OWGR).

We’re going to preview the Genesis Scottish Open this week and then The Open next week. Eight of the top ten ranked golfers in the world will be playing in the Scottish Open, including #1 Scottie Scheffler.

2023 John Deere Classic Results and Betting Recap

I was unable to find a winner last week, you can go take a look at my 2023 John Deere Classic predictions. Sepp Straka won with a score of -21 thanks in large part to shooting a final round of -9. I had Adam Schenk (T4), Denny McCarthy (T6) and Glover (T6) to win. I also just missed out on Glover to finish top 5 at +1550 odds.

Let’s see if we can hit a winner this week with my 2023 Scottish Open predictions.

2023 Scottish Open Preview

When: Thursday, July 13th – Sunday, July 16th 2023

Where: The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland

TV: CBS, Golf Channel, ESPN+ and Peacock

Field: 156 Golfers (Cut: top 65 and ties)

Purse: $9,000,000 (Winner gets $1,620,000)

The Scottish Open was a European Tour (DP World Tour) event until last year. Starting last year, the PGA and DP World Tour co-sanctioned the event. Xander Schauffele won the Scottish Open last year with a score of -7 in windy conditions. The tournament has been hosted at The Renaissance Club since 2019. 

Previous Scottish Open winners at this links-like course include Min Woo Lee in 2021 (-18), Aaron Rai in 2020 (-11) and Bernd Wiesberger in 2019 (-22). The tournament went to a playoff in all three years.

Here’s what you need to know about The Renaissance Club:

• Par: 70 / Yards: 7,237
• Greens: Fescue / Fairways: Fescue / Rough: Fescue
• Par 3s: 5 / Par 4s: 10 / Par 5s: 3

The Renaissance Club proved tough last year in windy conditions. The weather report is calling for rain on all four days (60%-80% chance of precipitation each day currently). Winds are projected to start out around 10-15 mph on Thursday and could get above 20 mph by Sunday.

Golfers with power off the tee have had success here, but it’s more important to hit the narrow fairways consistently. Golfers want to avoid the thick rough and deep pot bunkers scattered around the course. Scoring well on the five par 3 holes and handling the slow greens is vital to climb the leaderboard.

Expert Scottish Open Predictions 2023

Scheffler (+650) and Rory McIlroy (+900) lead the market. Scheffler has been extremely consistent this season. He has made the top 10 in 14 of the 18 events he has played in. He has finished T5 or better in his last six starts.

Scheffler ranks 1st in SG: Tee-to-Green, SG: Approach the Green, SG: Off the Tee and SG: Total. However, he ranks 131st in SG: Putting and missed the cut here last year.

McIlroy won his first start this season (CJ Cup), but hasn’t tasted victory since. After a MC at the Masters and a T47 at Wells Fargo, McIlroy has finished T9 or better in five consecutive starts. McIlroy ranks 1st in driving distance, but 154th in driving accuracy. He ranks 4th in SG: Total, 12th in par 3 scoring average and 27th in proximity. He has struggled in the Scottish Open, with a best finish of T14 in seven starts.

Other Top Contenders at the Scottish Open

Other top contenders to consider for your 2023 Scottish Open predictions are Schauffele (+1400), Tyrrell Hatton (+1800), Tommy Fleetwood (+2000), Rickie Fowler (+2000) and Matt Fitzpatrick (+2500).

Schauffele has played this tournament twice, finishing T10 in 2021 and 1st last year. He ranks 4th in SG: Approach to Green, 6th in SG: Putting, 17th in GIR% and 41st in scrambling. Hatton has three top 5s in his last six starts. He ranks 3rd in SG: Total, 5th in SG: Putting and 18th in scrambling. Hatton has had three top 10 finishes in this event, but since moving to The Renaissance Club his best finish is T14.

Fleetwood has finishes of 2nd (lost in playoff), T26 and T4 in the last three years here. He hasn’t been in consistent form lately, but he has two top 5s and two missed cuts in his last four starts. Fleetwood ranks 7th in SG: Total, 29th in SG: Putting, 19th in scrambling and 30th in par 3 scoring average.

There are lots of longshots to target as well this week, especially with the weather expected to be less than ideal. One name that stands out to me is Thomas Detry (+11000). Detry has finished T2 and T10 in this tournament the last two years. He ranks 77th in SG: Total, 57th in SG: Putting, 26th in scrambling and 37th in driving distance. He has the course form and played well last year in the windy conditions.

2023 Scottish Open Predictions – Outright Winner

I have two outright winner 2023 Scottish Open predictions. From the top tier of golfers, I’m going to bet on Fleetwood to win this week. He’s coming off a missed cut at the Travelers Championship, but after his last missed cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge, he finished 2nd (lost in playoff) at the RBC Canadian Open. Look for Fleetwood to bounce back on a course where he has performed very well in recent years.

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2023 Scottish Open Predictions – Top 5 Finish

The golfer I’m betting on to finish top 5 at the Scottish Open has three top 5 finishes this season. He ranks in the top 50 in SG: Total, SG: Approach to Green, GIR% and proximity.

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Make or Miss Cut – 2023 Scottish Open Predictions

I have three 2023 Scottish Open predictions for the make or miss cut betting market. I’m betting on two golfers to make the cut and one golfer to miss the cut. One of the golfers I’m betting on to make the cut is Detry (-140 odds). We’re getting a good price on Detry to make the cut because he has missed the cut in his last two tournaments, but he has only missed the cut four times in 21 events this season.

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Sign-up to Sports Hub with your email to access all of my 2023 Scottish Open predictions. You can gain access to all of my sports picks under my profile “SWJ Sports”. I’m up $2419 in the last 30 days. I’ll also be potentially adding some head-to-head matchup bets before the tournament tees off on Thursday.

Will There Be a Playoff at the Scottish Open?

Normally I don’t bet on this prop, but I couldn’t pass up the odds after searching for my best 2023 Scottish Open predictions. Since moving to this course in 2019, the Scottish Open has finished in a playoff in three of four years. Last year was the only year that didn’t, but the winning margin was only one stroke. With wind and potentially rain in the forecast, this is likely going to be another low-scoring tournament that’ll come down to the wire.

Best Bet: Yes There Will Be a Playoff (+300)

2023 Scottish Open Odds

Here are the latest odds for all of the golfers competing this week (subject to change):