We’ve identified the best NFL DFS Week 18 plays at QB, RB, WR, TE and DST. It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and we’re going to attempt to go out with a bang with my NFL DFS Week 18 plays.
In Week 17, I hit on the QB5 and QB9. The RB position has been tough to predict lately and I missed on my three targets. I hit on the WR6 (Zay Flowers) at a great price point. I hit on the DST7, but missed on the TE position. It was my worst week of the season, but I’ll bounce back this weekend.
Get my best NFL DFS Week 18 plays for the main slate on Sunday. For some reason, FanDuel included the late game on the Sunday main slate, but DraftKings has excluded that game.
Best Stacks for NFL DFS Week 18
Here are my top two NFL DFS Week 18 stacks:
- Dak Prescott ($8K DK / $8.7K FD) and CeeDee Lamb ($9.3K DK / $10K FD)
If the Cowboys win, they win the NFC East. Prescott is averaging 21.4 FPPG (DK) and 20.4 FPPG (FD). He scored 24.3 FPs (DK) and 21.3 FPs (FD) last week against the Lions. He threw for 345 yards in the win. Prescott scored 35.24 FPs (DK) and 32.24 FPs (FD) in the first H2H against the Commanders.
Lamb is on fire. He just had 13 receptions for 227 yards and 1 TD against the Lions. Lamb is averaging 24.6 FPPG (DK) and 19.2 FPPG (FD). The Commanders allow 259.3 PYPG (31st) and 2.2 passing TDs per game (32nd). I expect Precott and Lamb to dominate this defense and lock up the NFC East.
- Aidan O’Connell ($5.4K DK / $6.7K FD) and Davante Adams ($7.9K DK / $7.7K FD)
O’Connell has performed well and he offers a lot of salary relief when constructing rosters. He was only one yard shy away from his first 300-yard passing performance last week. The Broncos are allowing 233.9 PYPG (23rd) and 1.7 passing TDs per game (28th), so O’Connell is in a good spot to produce.
Adams exploded for 13 receptions for 126 yards and 2 TDs last week against the Colts. He received 21 targets in the loss. Adams has now had 100+ receiving yards and 1+ TD in two of his last three games. Adams has been inconsistent, but he’s one of my top targets for NFL DFS Week 18.
NFC North on the line, the Packers came up clutch on both sides of the ball 🧀
— NFL (@NFL) January 4, 2024
📺: #CHIvsGB — Sunday 4:25pm ET on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/c2tKPnPMxt
Best Studs for NFL DFS Week 18
Here are the best NFL DFS Week 18 studs at QB, RB, WR, TE and DST:
- QB: Jalen Hurts ($8.1K DK / $9K FD)
Hurts and the Eagles need to win to have a shot at winning the NFC East. Hurts has almost been a lock to score 20+ FPs on DK each week. He scored 27.44 FPs (DK) and 24.44 FPs (FD) in Week 16 against the Giants. The Giants allow 233.2 PYPG (20th). Hurts has a rushing TD in 11 games this season also.
Potential Stack: A.J. Brown ($8.7K DK / $8.2K FD)
- RB: Rachaad White ($7.6K DK / $7.7K FD)
The Bucs simply need to defeat the Panthers to lock up the NFC South. White has had 20+ carries in four of his last five games. I expect TB to lean on the run game once they have a lead. Carolina have played well against the pass, but they’re allowing 123.0 RYPG (23rd) and 1.6 rushing TDs per game (32nd).
- WR: Puka Nacua ($7.8K DK / $7.7K FD)
Nacua has a chance to break the rookie record for receiving yards this week. The Rams have locked up a wild card spot, but will still want to win on Sunday. Nacua has 100+ receiving yards in his last two games. The 49ers are allowing 218.3 PYPG (15th). Nacua had 147 receiving yards against SF in Week 2.
- TE: Trey McBride ($6K DK / $6.7K FD)
McBride is getting consistent volume. He has 7+ targets in his last seven games. He has only found the end zone once during those seven games, which has limited his upside. Seattle allow 231.3 PYPG (19th). He can exceed value in NFL DFS Week 18 action if he can score a TD against the Seahawks.
- DST: Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3.9K DK / $4.4K FD)
The Bucs need to play solid defense to seal up the division against a weak offensive team. The Bucs DST averages 7.4 FPPG despite only scoring one defensive TD all season. Carolina score 14.8 PPG (31st). This could be a ceiling game for them in NFL DFS Week 18 with so much on the line for the team.
Best Value Plays for NFL DFS Week 18
Here are the best NFL DFS Week 18 value plays at QB, RB, WR, TE and DST:
- QB: Jordan Love ($6.6K DK / $7.8K FD)
Love and the Packers are fighting for a wild card spot still. Love has scored 20+ FPs on DK and FD in the last two weeks. He has scored a rushing TD in his last two games, which has helped. Love scored 23.0 FPs (DK and FD) in Week 1 against Chicago. The Bears allow 233.4 PYPG (21st).
Potential Stack: Jayden Reed ($5.7K DK / $7.1K FD) – Keep eye on his status
- RB: Elijah Mitchell ($5.8K DK / $6.6K FD)
Christian McCaffrey is out, so Mitchell will likely get a full workload for the 49ers in NFL DFS Week 18. He had 17 carries for 80 yards and 1 TD last week. The Rams allow 105.7 RYPG (12th). Mitchell could crush value if he gets 20+ touches. This game means nothing for SF, so riding Mitchell makes the most sense.
49ers leading the way at the #ProBowlGames 😤 pic.twitter.com/AruyroAaV0
— NFL (@NFL) January 4, 2024
- WR: Calvin Ridley ($6.5K DK / $6.9K FD)
The Jaguars need to win to lock up the AFC South. Trevor Lawrence is expected back and Christian Kirk may even suit up for the big game, but I expect Ridley to have the big game for the Jags. Ridley has a high ceiling for NFL DFS Week 18. The Titans are allowing 224.1 PYPG (16th) this season.
- TE: Juwan Johnson ($3.6K DK / $5.4K FD)
Johnson is really cheap on DK for NFL DFS Week 18 and it won’t take much to hit value. Johnson has scored a TD in three consecutive games. He had eight receptions (12 targets) for 90 yards last week. If he gets close to 10 targets again, he’ll crush value. The Falcons allow 60.7 YPG against TEs.
- DST: Jacksonville Jaguars ($3.2K DK / $4.4K FD)
The Jaguars need to win and the Titans are already eliminated. The Jags DST scored 18.0 FPs against Carolina last week and I expect similar production in NFL DFS Week 18 action. The Jags have an INT in four of their last five games. Tennessee are only scoring 17.8 PPG (28th) this season.
Best Bargain Bin Sleepers for NFL DFS Week 18
Here are my top two NFL DFS Week 18 bargain bin sleepers (one RB and one WR):
- RB: Zach Charbonnet ($5K DK / $6.1K FD)
This NFL DFS Week 18 play will hinge on whether Charbonnet starts. If Kenneth Walker III is ruled out, I’m rolling with Charbonnet. He hauled in 5/5 of targets last week in relief duty. His ceiling is likely 20.0 FPs, but he’s very cheap. Seattle need to win to stay alive. Arizona allow 143.5 RYPG (32nd).
- WR: Darius Slayton ($4K DK / $5.7K FD)
Slayton has been producing to close out the season. He has 90+ receiving yards in his last two games and he has scored a long TD in his last two games. He’s still not getting a lot of volume, but the game script in NFL DFS Week 18 will likely mean he gets more targets, as the Giants will be down.