Sports Hub’s In-Depth Super Bowl Betting Preview

Super Bowl LVIII is just around the corner so Sports Hub is here to provide you with its in-depth Super Bowl betting preview!

Below you can find everything you need to know before placing your bets on Super Bowl 58. From the latest odds, season recaps, injury reports, betting trends to key matchups, we’ve got you covered in our Super Bowl betting preview.

If you didn’t already know, the NFL’s championship matchup will see the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers go head-to-head at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas on February 11, 2024. The 49ers are currently 2-point favorites heading into the game, and are priced at -130 on the moneyline. 

Our handicappers will be filling the system with their Super Bowl picks throughout the week. However, be sure to check out our in-depth Super Bowl betting preview below to find out all the information you need!

Super Bowl Betting Preview – Odds

Looking at the odds is the first point of call in our Super Bowl betting preview. It’s also important that we consider how the markets have changed over the last couple of weeks. 

The 49ers opened as 2.5-point favorites to win. Our 2024 NFL Conference Championship Report at the end of January then saw the Niners move to 1-point favorites. The game total was set at 47.5, and we haven’t seen the line change so far. The most recent update sees San Francisco as 2-point favorites (-110). As a result, the Chiefs are 2-point underdogs (-110), and are +110 to win on the moneyline. 

The spread seems to be alternating between 1 and 2 in favor of the Niners. That would follow the trend of San Francisco throughout the postseason – winning the game, but failing to cover a large spread. 

The Niners are 0-2 ATS in the playoffs this season. However, the Chiefs are 3-0 ATS throughout the postseason. Before the season began, Kansas City were favorites to win the Super Bowl (+600). Meanwhile, the Niners were priced at +1000, but were cut to +650 after Week 1. 

The Chiefs started last year’s Super Bowl as underdogs but would go on to win the game 38-35. They opened up as favorites, though, so many bettors started to back the Philadelphia Eagles. Patrick Mahomes went on to win Super Bowl MVP last year for the second time of his career. He is looking for his third in five years at Super Bowl 58. 

Road to the Super Bowl 

Kansas City Chiefs

It was a positive start to the season for the Chiefs after they went 7-2 to open the campaign. However, after their Week 10 bye, they lost four of their next six games to move to 9-6. Their playoff hopes looked in jeopardy, but they managed to win their last two games to wrap up the AFC West title. 

That saw them enter the postseason as the No. 3 seed. The Chiefs easily dispatched the Miami Dolphins 26-7 in the Wild Card Round at Arrowhead Stadium. However, Mahomes would have to go on the road during the playoffs for the first time in his career in the Divisional Round. 

In typical Mahomes fashion, he rose to the occasion. The Buffalo Bills suffered further postseason agony at the hands of Kansas City once more, with the Chiefs edging a 27-24 win. 

Mahomes and co. would produce again on the road in the Conference Championship game. Like the clash against Buffalo, the Chiefs entered their road game against the Baltimore Ravens as the underdogs. However, they secured a 17-10 win in Maryland. Mahomes has a TD:INT ratio of 4:0 throughout the playoffs. 

San Francisco 49ers 

The Niners’ destiny looked set after opening the season 5-0. However, three defeats on the bounce revealed their flaws. Nevertheless, San Francisco rallied as they finished 12-5, comfortably earning the NFC’s No.1 seed. 

That meant they had a week off during the Wild Card Round, and a shock win for the Green Bay Packers over the Dallas Cowboys meant the 49ers would have to face off against Green Bay. The Packers kept it close, but the Niners sealed a 24-21 triumph. 

It hasn’t been simple for the Niners throughout the postseason. They have entered each matchup as pretty comfortable favorites, but have failed to cover the spread in each playoff game. 

They had to overturn a 17-point deficit against the Detroit Lions in the Conference Championship game. Brock Purdy produced some crucial scrambles in the second half as the 49ers ended up 34-31 victors. He has a TD:INT ratio of 2:1 through the postseason. 

Injury Report

As you know, sports bettors have to check the injury report before making their picks. This is an important segment in our Super Bowl betting preview.

Chiefs guard Joe Thuney has been on the injury report of late, failing to attend practice. He missed the Conference Championship game against the Ravens due to a pectoral strain. Nick Allegretti may need to fill in again if Thuney is unable to recover. 

One player that we do know that will miss out is defensive end Charles Omenihu. He tore his ACL in the matchup against the Ravens. Kansas City will miss his pass-rushing ability. Omenihu recorded 7 sacks across just 11 regular season games in 2023. He also sacked Lamar Jackson in the Conference Championship game. 

Wide Receiver Skyy Moore and offensive lineman Prince Tega-Wanogho are both questionable due to respective knee and quad injuries. They are both currently on injured reserve. 

Willie Gay and Isiah Pacheco have both been banged up of late, but are expected to play on Sunday. Running back Jerick McKinnon is set to return from IR, and could provide a big boost in the backfield. 

The injury report is looking a lot cleaner for San Francisco. They aren’t expected to have any major concerns. Defensive tackle Kalia Davis is on IR, but has been practicing in full this week. George Kittle has been nursing a toe injury but will be good to go. 

Super Bowl Betting Preview – Betting Trends

Betting trends are a notable facet to consider in our Super Bowl betting preview. If we can highlight these key trends, we are more likely to do well with our picks. Take a look at the key tendencies below:

• Against the Spread (REG): Both teams weren’t great against the spread throughout the regular season. Kansas City were 9-7-1, whilst the 49ers were 9-8-0. It’s worth noting that San Francisco entered every one of their regular season games as favorites. 

• ATS (POST): The Chiefs have covered the spread across all three playoff games this season (3-0). The Niners are 0-2 ATS for the postseason. For all games this season, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 12-7-1, whilst the Niners are 9-10-0. 

• Historical ATS: Favorites are 27-28-2 ATS throughout SB history. However, the underdogs have covered in more recent history and are 11-5 ATS over the last 16 years. Entering the game as NFC favorites, it may not bode too well for the Niners. NFC favorites heading into the SB are 1-7-2 ATS over the last 10 games. 

• Totals: When looking at totals, the 49ers had an over/under record of 10-7-0 for the regular season. The Chiefs were 5-12-0. For the postseason, the Niners are 1-1-0, whilst the Chiefs are 1-2-0. That moves the records to 11-8-0 for San Francisco, and 6-14-0 for Kansas City over the entire season. 

• Back-to-Back Winners: With the Chiefs winning Super Bowl 57, they are aiming to secure consecutive triumphs. They last had the opportunity to do so for the 2020 season after winning the SB during the 2019 season. However, they ended up losing 31-9 in Super Bowl 55 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The last time a franchise won consecutive Super Bowls was the New England Patriots for the 2003 and 2004 seasons. 

• AFC vs NFC: Over the last 5 years, the AFC is up 3-2 in terms of Super Bowl wins. Extending that to the past 10, the AFC are still up 6-4. However, we have seen the NFC win two of the last three Super Bowls. There were three consecutive AFC winners across the 2014-2016 seasons. The last time that happened in the NFC was between 2009 and 2011. 

Head-to-Head 

This will be the first time that the Chiefs and Niners meet this season. They last met during the 2022 season, with the Chiefs securing a comprehensive 44-23 victory at Levi’s Stadium. Kansas City have won their last two successive clashes with the Niners. 

The second triumph was at Super Bowl 54. The Chiefs lifted the Lombardi Trophy back in 2020, winning 31-20 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. 

Mahomes completed 26 of his 42 pass attempts in that game, throwing for 286 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. He also rushed for 29 yards and a TD, and was awarded Super Bowl MVP. Tight end Travis Kelce also played in that matchup four years ago. He made six catches for 43 yards and a touchdown. 

The Niners had Jimmy Garoppolo under center. He made 20 of his 31 pass attempts, throwing for 219 yards, a touchdown and two picks. Deebo Samuel was on the roster back then, too, but he made just three catches for 53 yards. However, he also had five carries for 39 yards. TE George Kittle had four receptions for 36 yards. 

A defensive core of Nick Bosa, Dre Greenlaw, Arik Armstead and Fred Warner all remain at San Francisco. Warner was the standout player at Super Bowl 54, making 5 solo tackles and an interception. Those guys will be desperate to exact revenge on the Chiefs this time around. 

Key Matchups

There are a number of crucial matchups that we need to consider in our Super Bowl betting preview. The winners of these matchups may prove to be game-defining. Take a look at our top four battles below:

• Nick Allegretti vs. Javon Hargrave: With Thuney still questionable, Allegretti may get the start against the Niners. He was excellent against the pass rush against the Ravens, but struggled with his run blocking. That may limit the ability for Pacheco to make plays. Equally, Hargrave has done well at creating pressure over the last two playoff games, recording 3 pressures each against the Packers and the Lions. 

• Jawaan Taylor vs. Nick Bosa: We all know that Bosa is an absolute monster on the 49ers’ defensive line. He was superb against the Lions, recording eight total pressures, two sacks and two hits. Taylor struggled up against the Ravens so could be in for a difficult game. The Chiefs o-line has let them down before, and struggled to protect Mahomes in the Super Bowl 55 loss to the Buccaneers. 

• L’Jarius Sneed vs. Brandon Aiyuk: Sneed yet again proved how important he is to the Kansas City defense against Baltimore when he stopped Zay Flowers from scoring a TD. He will have to deal with the quality of Aiyuk on Sunday. The 2020 first-round pick only made three catches against Detroit, but has proven influential for the Niners this season, and also scored a TD in the Conference Championship game. 

• Travis Kelce vs. Niners Defense: Kelce has been the leading pass-catcher for Mahomes now for some time. The tight end failed to hit 1000 receiving yards this season – the first time since 2015. However, he has been spectacular during the postseason, recording a total of 262 receiving yards and three TDs. San Francisco allowed Lions TE Sam LaPorta to make nine catches for 97 yards in the Conference Championship game, meaning Kelce could be in for another huge day. 

Super Bowl Betting Preview – Key Stats 

Us bettors love a good stat when analyzing football games. We’re looking at the key stats in our Super Bowl betting preview next. Here are some stats from the regular season: 

• Total Offensive Yards: 49ers 398.4 PG (2nd) vs. Chiefs 351.3 PG (9th)
• Passing Yards (OFF): 49ers 257.9 YPG (4th) vs. Chiefs 246.4 YPG (6th)
• Rushing Yards (OFF): 49ers 140.5 YPG (3rd) vs. Chiefs 104.9 YPG (19th)
• Points Scored: 49ers 28.9 PPG (3rd) vs. Chiefs 21.8 PPG (15th)
• Total Yards Allowed: 49ers 303.9 PG (8th) vs. Chiefs 289.8 PG (2nd)
• Passing Yards (DEF): 49ers 214.2 YPG (14th) vs. Chiefs 176.5 YPG (4th)
• Rushing Yards (DEF): 49ers 89.7 YPG (3rd) vs. Chiefs 113.2 YPG (18th)
• Points Allowed: 49ers 17.5 PPG (3rd) vs. Chiefs 17.3 PPG (2nd)
• Takeaways: 49ers 22 INTs (T1st), 6 FUM (T28th) vs. Chiefs 8 INTs (T27th), 9 FUM (T17th)
• Giveaways: 49ers 12 INTs (T13th), 6 FUM (T4th) vs. Chiefs 17 INTs (T25th), 11 FUM (T20th)

San Francisco exceeded the Chiefs across all offensive stats during the regular season. However, Kansas City excelled on defense, with the Niners bettering them in just one overall defensive team stat (rushing yards allowed). 

That could indicate that CMC is in for a big game. The Chiefs have often struggled to stop the run this season, however, that has improved throughout the postseason. They are giving up 113.0 RYPG over their three playoff games. Meanwhile, the Niners have since been worse than Kansas City, allowing 159 RYPG from their two games in the playoffs.

Super Bowl 58 Predictions

We are at the conclusion of Sports Hub’s in-depth Super Bowl betting preview now. I hope that we have been able to provide you with enough key data to help support you with your wagers this week. 

We have got a surfeit of content all focusing on the Super Bowl this week. We had our 1st look at the Super Bowl last week which helped you with some early thoughts for the Championship game. 

Earlier this week, we also released our Top 10 Super Bowl LVIII Props Picks. Bettors love wagering on all kinds of crazy picks when it comes to the Super Bowl. We have given you our top player props, TD scorers, game props and novelty props. 

Let’s not forget to mention our plethora of expert handicappers. Our guys will be putting in a number of picks in the system throughout the course of the week for the Super Bowl. Be sure to head on over to the members page to gain full access to our selection of picks! 

There’s just one game left to go for the 2023 NFL season. It’s set to be a gigantic event between two top teams. I can’t wait for Sunday to come, and I hope our Super Bowl betting preview has supplied you with enough information for your selections. Good luck with all of your bets this week!