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Gain access to expert UFC 304 predictions for every fight on Saturday night. UFC 304 will be hosted at Co-op Live in Manchester, United Kingdom. English fighters are well represented on the fight card.
Leon Edwards will put the welterweight title on the line against Belal Muhhamad in the main event.
Tom Aspinal (#1 HW) will fight Curtis Blaydes (#4 HW) for the interim title in the co-main event. Both of the English fighters (Edwards and Aspinal) are big favorites in their respective fights.
King Green (formerly Bobby Green) will be fighting Paddy Pimblett on the main card. In one of the most intriguing fights, Muhammad Mokaev will take on Manel Kape on the prelims card.
UFC 304 Preview
- When: Saturday, July 27th 2024
- Where: Co-op Live in Manchester, United Kingdom
- Start Time: 6:15 PM ET (Early Prelims) / 8:00 PM ET (Prelims) / 10:00 PM ET (Main Card)
- Watch: UFC Fight Pass / ESPN / ESPN+ / Pay-Per-View (PPV)
There are 14 fights scheduled for UFC 304. The fight card is top heavy, as the only ranked fighters on the prelims are Muhammad Mokaev and Manel Kape. There are some interesting fights, though. Nathaniel Wood and Molly McCann are both in action. We have expert UFC 304 predictions for every fight.
The matchmakers set-up the English fighters to succeed this weekend. The majority of English fighters on the card are big favorites. We’ll need to target the alternate markets to get the best value bets.
UFC 304 Odds
Here are the latest UFC 304 odds for every scheduled fight:
| Leon Edwards (-255) vs. Belal Muhammad (+205) |
| Tom Aspinall (-350) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+260) |
| King Green (-125) vs. Paddy Pimblett (-105) |
| Christian Leroy Duncan (-140) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+110) |
| Arnold Allen (-245) vs. Giga Chikadze (+195) |
| Nathaniel Wood (-420) vs. Daniel Pineda (+310) |
| Molly McCann (-340) vs. Bruna Brasil (+260) |
| Jake Hadley (+160) vs. Caolan Loughran (-200) |
| Modestas Bukauskas (-155) vs. Marcin Prachnio (+125) |
| Oban Elliott (+110) vs. Preston Parsons (-140) |
| Muhammad Mokaev (-150) vs. Manel Kape (+120) |
| Sam Patterson (-435) vs. Kiefer Crosbie (+315) |
| Mick Parkin (-285) vs. Lukasz Brzeski (+230) |
| Shauna Bannon (-165) vs. Alice Ardelean (+135) |
Expert UFC 304 Predictions
We’re going to jump into my UFC 304 predictions now. In order to access all of my UFC 304 predictions, you need to open a Sports Hub account and visit my profile page (SWJ Sports).
I’m not the only UFC handicapper releasing plays this weekend either. We have several experts that will be releasing UFC 304 predictions. MMA Prime – Sports Hub has been crushing the bookies and is on a 13-2 run (+$905) on their last 15 picks. Access all of our sports picks for just $85/month.
Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad Predictions
- Fight Odds: Edwards (-255) vs. Muhammad (+205)
Edwards (22-3-0-1) hasn’t lost a fight since 2015 against Kamaru Usman. Muhammad (23-3-0-1) last lost back in 2019 against Geoff Neal. These two fought in 2021, but the fight ended in a no contest (accidental eye poke). Edwards had the edge in the first meeting, but he’s definitely beatable.
Edwards averages 2.75 SLpM, 2.34 SApM and 1.25 takedowns (TDs) per 15 minutes. Muhammad has 93% takedown defense (TDD), while averaging 4.55 SLpM, 3.64 SApM and 1.98 TDs per 15 minutes. Both fighters are durable, with most of their recent fights going the distance.
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Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Predictions
- Fight Odds: Aspinall (-350) vs. Blaydes (+260)
Aspinall (14-3) lost to Blaydes (18-4-0-1) in 2022 after suffering an early knee injury. He went 2-0 last year and won both fights by TKO/KO. Blaydes is coming off a win against Jailton Almeida by KO in March.
Both of these guys have power. Aspinall has 11 TKO/KO wins and Blaydes has 13 TKO/KO wins. Aspinall averages 7.72 SLpM, 2.77 SApM and 3.46 TDs per 15 minutes. Blaydes is averaging 5.72 TDs per 15 minutes, but he hasn’t landed a takedown in his last four fights and Almeida took him down nine times.
One thing’s certain, this fight will end by stoppage. Log-in to Sports Hub to get all of my picks.
King Green vs. Paddy Pimblett Predictions
- Fight Odds: Green (-125) vs. Pimblett (-105)
Green (32-15-1-1) changed his first name from Bobby to King in July. Green is 3-1 in his last four fights in the UFC dating back to last year and he’s coming off a decision win against Jim Miller. Pimblett (21-3) is on a seven-fight win streak and he’s currently 5-0 since joining the UFC in 2021.
Pimblett has nine submission wins, including two in the UFC, but his last two fights have been decision wins against Jared Gordon and Tony Ferguson. Pimblett averages 5.13 SLpM and 3.70 SApM, while Green averages 6.45 SLpM and 3.75 SApM. Both guys have poor takedown accuracy.
I expect this to be an uneventful fight and I’m backing Pimblett at these odds.
Best Bet: Paddy Pimblett ML (-105)
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues Predictions
- Fight Odds: Duncan (-140) vs. Rodrigues (+110)
Duncan (10-1) is 3-1 in the UFC, with the lone loss against Armen Petrosyan. Rodrigues (15-5) is 6-2 in the UFC. Both fighters are on a two-fight win streak. This is going to be an exciting fight with a lot on the line. Duncan has a 4” reach advantage, but Rodrigues has the grappling edge.
Rodrigues averages 6.08 SLpM, 5.30 SApM and 2.46 TDs per 15 minutes. Duncan averages 5.96 SLpM and 3.82 SApM, but he only has 50% TDD. Both of these guys are knockout artists, but Rodrigues has been knocked out three times in his career and Duncan has never been finished.
These two are going to slug it out and I’m expecting a highlight reel knockout.
Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze Predictions
- Fight Odds: Allen (-245) vs. Chikadze (+195)
Allen (19-3) is on a two-fight losing streak against Max Holloway and Movsar Evloev. Will he be ready to take a jump forward against Chikadze (15-3)? Chikadze is 8-1 in the UFC, with his only loss against Calvin Kattar, which went a full five rounds. Chikadze has nine TKO/KO wins in his career.
Allen averages 3.39 SLpM, 2.91 SApM and 1.02 TDs per 15 minutes. Chikadze averages 4.08 SLpM and 3.44 SApM. Chikadze will have a 4” reach advantage, which could play a big role in this fight. Is Allen a deserving favorite? Yes, but I’m surprised he’s such a big favorite against Chikadze.
Who will win? Visit my profile (SWJ Sports) for all of my UFC 304 predictions this weekend.
Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda Predictions
- Fight Odds: Wood (-420) vs. Pineda (+310)
Wood (19-6) is coming off a loss against Muhammadjon Naimov by decision. He had won three fights in a row by decision prior to the loss. Pineda (28-15-0-3) went 1-1 last year and lost to Alex Caceres last time out. Pineda has 19 submission wins and Wood has been tapped twice, so Wood will need to be cautious.
Wood has 70% TDD, which will help him in this matchup. He averages 5.91 SLpM and 4.22 SApM. Both guys have a 69” reach. Pineda averages 3.09 SLpM, 3.18 SApM and 1.71 TDs per 15 minutes. Wood is likely to win this fight, but I’m passing at these odds. I’m betting on over 2.5 rounds.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Rounds (+115)
Molly McCann vs. Bruna Brasil Predictions
- Fight Odds: McCann (-340) vs. Brasil (+260)
McCann (14-6) looked good last time out, as she tapped Diana Belbita in the first round. She had lost her two previous fights by first-round submission, though. Brasil (9-4-1) is just 1-2 in the UFC. She defeated Shauna Bannon, but lost to Konklak Suphisara last time out. Her last two fights have gone the distance.
McCann is an active striker (5.79 SLpM) and she has good striking defense (63%) despite absorbing 4.94 strikes per minute. Brasil averages 2.94 SLpM and 3.92 SApM. She’ll have a 3” reach advantage. Both fighters are capable of landing takedowns and neither are great at stuffing takedowns.
McCann is a deserving favorite, but these odds are tough to get behind.
Log-in to Sports Hub to access my UFC 304 predictions for McCann vs. Brasil.
Muhammad Mokaev vs. Manel Kape Predictions
- Mokaev (-150) vs. Kape (+120)
This is one of the top fights on the UFC 304 card, but it has been pushed to the early prelims. Mokaev (12-0-0-1) is 6-0 in the UFC and he has four submission wins. Kape (19-6) lost his first two UFC fights, but has bounced back with four consecutive wins. Kape seems to be a bit overvalued in this spot.
Mokaev averages 1.53 SLpM, 1.36 SApM and 5.75 TDs per 15 minutes. Kape has 77% TDD, but this will be his toughest test in the grappling department. Kape averages 5.12 SLpM and 4.51 SApM. He has 11 wins by TKO/KO, including two in the UFC, but his last two wins have been by decision.
That wraps up my UFC 304 predictions. There are going to be some awesome fights on the PPV card, but this card doesn’t stack up to the last few PPV events. Edwards vs. Muhammad is likely not going to be an explosive fight, but any time Aspinall is in action, it’s worth tuning in. Become a Sports Hub member to access all of our expert UFC 304 predictions.
